Since 1990, there were 23 other events where the markets declined 10% or more. Yet despite these declines, the annualized return for the S&P 500 Index from 1990 to 2019 was 7.7%.
If all you missed was the best day in each year during that time period, your return would’ve dropped to 3.9%. Miss the best two days of each year, and you were up less than 1% a year. If you missed the best 20 days of each year, you’d be down 27% per year!
Wilderness guides tell us that the way to survive a bear attack is not to flee, but to face it down because you can’t outrun or outclimb a bear.
The same is true of a bear market. If you flee a bear market, your odds of coming out unscathed may not be very good. But facing it down and staying the course could mean you not only survive—but you thrive!
A look back in history shows us that people are incredibly resilient in response to crises. I like to think of these people as “thrivalists”—those who see challenges as an opportunity to reinvent, reimagine, innovate, and come out better for it on the other side. As your partner, we’re here to help you thrive through this current crisis. Whether you want a portfolio review, need a pep talk, or want to share what’s changed in your life, we’re here to help.
We can learn a lot from human anatomy. Your amygdala, commonly referred to as your “lizard” brain, is the part of your brain that controls your emotions, which can often influence your investment decisions. If the market is down, this could compel you to sell, when the best strategy may be to stay the course.
If you want to discuss your strategy, please reach out to us.
*There are six examples in the S&P 500 since 1987 of deep declines that were followed within 10 days by big moves to the upside. The S&P 500 is generally considered representative of the U.S. stock market. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Source: LPL Research FactSet, 3/23/20, S&P 500 Index Annualized Growth Rate (1990 – 2019)
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Topics: Invest & Retirement
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